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Sunday 11 February, 12 UTC T 96 Valid: Thursday 15 February, 12 UTC Ensemble forecasts explained One 'ensemble forecast' consists of 51 separate forecasts made by the same computer model, all activated from the same starting time.

The starting conditions for each member of the ensemble are slightly different, and physical parameter values used also differ slightly.

The COST Action and the interaction with other COST members have contributed significantly to my own research.



COST Actions have been one of the most successful tools towards the development of a real European Research Area (ERA) allowing scientists' exchanges and the development of strong collaborations between researchers across Europe strengthening thus the European research network.

ECMWF is providing support for an atmospheric river field campaign over the eastern Pacific.

The campaign is led by Scripps Institution of Oceanography’s Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes and will run until late February 2018.

It offers junior researchers a chance to get overview, and to build a network.


It concerns research and discourses that cannot be carried out under set research plans of universities and research institutes.

I hope the COST budget will not be cut to maintain such tremendous societal, scientific and commercial impact.


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