Statistics dating

bathroom-blowjob

In our case here, about one in ten of the first dates I have been on have led to something more , so we'll start with a prior probability of 10%, or 0.1, that my date is into me at the very beginning of the date.Of course, this prior probability is not overly useful to us.But there is of course also a chance that the early stages of the date go well, even if there is no chemistry there — my date might be laughing at my jokes out of politeness, or perhaps enjoy my company platonically, without any other spark.We deal with this situation in the lower right corner of the equation.

bathroom-blowjob

We call this updated assessment of the likelihood of our proposition the "posterior probability".In our case, P(E | A) should be reasonably high — if my date is into me, it is pretty likely that my date will enjoy my witty banter.We can estimate this then as saying P(E | A) = 0.8, or 80%.One way to interpret this probability is as my degree of certainty, measured from 0% to 100%, that A is true — that my date is in fact into me.

bathroom-blowjob

We start with a "prior" probability — a baseline, without any particular evidence for or against the proposition, before the date begins, often based on historical observations.This post will teach you how to incorporate events that happen during your date into figuring out whether the date is going well and likely to lead to something more.

dduvs.dp.ua

28 Comments

  1. Pingback:

  2. eric   •  

    Er hat ein wunderbares Hühnchengeschnetzeltes mit Weißwein-Sahnesoße gezaubert, dazu haben wir in der Küche noch eine Flasche Scheurebe entdeckt (es ist Jah-ren-den her, daß ich freiwillig Weißwein getrunken habe! So haben wir schön den Tisch gedeckt, mit Kerzen, wie sich das gehört, und ich habe beim Trinken viel an Oma und Opa gedacht, die sehr gern Scheurebe und Morio Muskat getrunken haben ( die ich ihnen bei meinen Heimatbesuchen immer vom Winzer mitbrachte).

  3. eric   •  

    Për çdo shqiptar është një lumturi që ia arriti ta përjetojë këtë ditë të ndritur të Lirisë e Pavarësisë së Kosovës, pavarësisht se ka ende fuqi të mëdha që kërcënojnë popujt e vegjël në të drejtat e tyre të nënvetësisë, siç kanë bërë edhe me Shqipërinë e tani me Kosovën. Çështje ndërkombëtare, për shumë arsye konjukturale në mes fuqive të mëdha, rrethana që ndihmuan Kosovën të ketë mbështetje e mbrojtje nga ato fuqi të mëdha, në plan të parë SHBA-ja, të interesuara qoftë për interesat e veta që në rajonin tonë, në Ballkanin e trazuar, kur Serbia, me prirjet e saj naziste, shkaktoi konflikte e masakra të tipit hitlerian, të vendoset një ekuilibër i qëndrueshëm në mes popujve e etnive të këtij rajoni, për t’u ngritur në nivelin e popujve demokratë, që bëjnë pjesë në Bashkimin Evropian. Ngjarja e jashtëzakonshme që solli 17 Shkurti, është një ngjarje që të ngarkon me emocione shumë të forta, duke përkujtuar gjithë ata bij të kombit shqiptar, që me pushkë e penë luftuan gjithë jetën për një Shqipëri të bashkuar, të lirë e të pavarur.

  4. eric   •  

    Who Knows Im Stoned I bought a bike from a man in a grocery store parking lot.

  5. eric   •  

    He aimed at me but all of his shots hit the exact spot on a tree, however as I went to fire at him I saw numerous blood splatters on me from the exact same spot as I died.

  6. eric   •  

    For the 1 train, the only thing it has going for it is its route, which is the only reason why I ride it (or has a star in this review!

  7. eric   •  

    If I were the parent I would sit down and have a talk with my daughter about my concerns with the relationship, steering it in a direction where the relationship could end.

  8. eric   •  

    I’ve watched enough Lifetime movies to know how this turns out. The New Ghosting of the Dating World Bumble I was all for Bumble when it first came out.

  9. eric   •  

    Es geht um den Pornofilm mit Max Grey, Lior Hod und Orri Gaul in Fucking Pissed Off 2, den wir STAXUS-Mitglieder uns seit dem 04. Dort haben Lior und Orri ja geilen Doppelpenetrationssex, gemeinsam und ganz eng beieinander in Max. Weiterlesen Oh, ich erkenne mich im jungen Sivan Ozzi wieder, wie er so zu Beginn der 2. Nein, nicht wegen des hübschen Äußeren (kicher), sondern weil ich einen jungen Mann nackt auf dem Bett sitzen und wichsen sehe. Willkommen liebe Männer zu einem wunderschönen kondomfreien Porno mit zwei Jungs, die jeder jeder auf seine Weise bezaubernd ist: Ron ist ein nimmersatter, schwanzliebender junger Mann, der mit einem dicken Prügeln zwischen den Zähnen oder den Arschbacken so richtig glücklich ist.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>